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DE RUEHRK #0096 1541700
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P 021700Z JUN 08
FM AMEMBASSY REYKJAVIK
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3662
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHDC

UNCLAS REYKJAVIK 000096 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR EUR/NB, INR-B 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR IC
SUBJECT:  ICELAND: PRESIDENT GRIMSSON RE-ELECTED BY DEFAULT FOR A 
FOURTH TERM 
 
REFS: A) REYKJAVIK 001 
  B) 04 REYKJAVIK 316 
 
¶1.  (SBU) Summary:  Icelandic President Olafur Ragnar Grimsson won 
re-election by default on May 24 after the deadline for candidate 
registration passed with no challengers announcing.  The election, 
previously scheduled for June 28, has been cancelled; Grimsson will 
start his fourth, and likely last, term in August.  The news came as 
no surprise to Icelanders, as borne out by modest media coverage. 
The lack of challengers reflects Grimsson's success in moving on 
from the controversy of 2004, when he won re-election but with a 
record number of spoiled "protest" ballots.  End Summary. 
 
¶2.  (SBU) Iceland's presidential elections were previously scheduled 
for June 28, with a deadline for potential candidates to file with 
the Ministry of Justice by May 24.  Incumbent President Olafur 
Ragnar Grimsson was the only candidate to do so, and has therefore 
won the election by default as per Article 5 of the Icelandic 
Constitution.  The results will be certified by the Supreme Court on 
June 11.  Grimsson was first elected President of Iceland in 1996; 
he was re-elected by default in 2000, and beat two opponents in 
¶2004.  He announced in his televised 2008 New Year's Day Address 
that he would run for a fourth term this year (Ref A).  Grimsson 
will be re-inaugurated on August 1. 
 
¶3.  (U) Grimsson seems to have largely overcome the controversy of 
his earlier term in office.  Voter turnout in the 2004 presidential 
election was only 62.9 percent, which was the lowest ever for an 
Icelandic presidential election (Ref B).  (By comparison, in 
parliamentary elections voter turnout typically ranges between 80 
and 90 percent.)  Twenty-three percent of votes cast in 2004 were 
empty ballots, or protest votes.  This means that only 67 percent of 
those who went to the polls voted for Grimsson.  At the time, many 
were unhappy over Grimsson's public feuding with the government of 
then-Prime Minister David Oddsson and Grimsson's refusal to sign a 
controversial bill restricting media ownership.  Though a large part 
of the public also opposed the bill, many viewed Grimsson's veto -- 
the first ever in Icelandic history -- as an unwelcome change to a 
largely ceremonial office.  In contrast, in the wake of Grimsson's 
announcement this year that he would run for the fourth time, a 
January Gallup poll showed that 86 percent supported him as 
President, and 80 percent said they were in favor of his running for 
the presidency for the fourth time.  Nevertheless, over half of the 
people asked said that the appropriate tenure for a President should 
be 10-12 years. 
 
¶4.  (SBU) Comment:  It had been somewhat expected in recent months 
that no one -- or at least no one with serious intentions -- would 
challenge President Grimsson.  Hence, his re-election by default did 
not come as a total surprise, which is buttressed by the fact that 
news coverage of the event was minimal and no politicians made any 
remarks in regards to it.  When Grimsson finishes his fourth term in 
2012 he will have been President for 16 years, but it is widely 
believed that he will not run again.  In the past it was rumored 
that after he stepped down as President he would try to land a 
high-profile international job, for example, with the United 
Nations.  An English-language biography slated to be published 
before Christmas 2007 was put on hold indefinitely last fall.  The 
biography, probably intended to raise Grimsson's international 
profile, was widely construed as preparation for a career change, 
but that too looks to be on hold for the time being. 
 
VAN VOORST